‘His days are numbered,' security analyst on Zimbabwe’s Mugabe
President of Zimbabwe - Robert Mugabe - is facing a military coup in an attempt to overthrow him and his ‘dynasty,’ a security analyst has warned.
Tensions in Harare reached boiling point Tuesday as witnesses report seeing armoured vehicles, military police and soldiers of Zimbabwe’s military approach the capital.
The political crisis in Zimbabwe sparked last week after Mugabe fired vice president Emmerson Mnangagwa, a former intelligence chief thought to have enough support to position himself as the president's successor.
Today’s developments follow a day after the armed forces head General Constantine Chiwenga made it clear that he was prepared to “step in” after the sacking of vice-president Mnangagwa.
The sacking made way for Mugabe’s wife Grace, 52, should he be forced to step down or die.
“There are more people against Mugabe than for him, nationally and internationally,” said TGS security analyst David Otto.
"The military doesn't support the activities of the president, his days are numbered.
“It leads me to conclude that the army is fed up with what it describes as a dynasty. Mugabe doesn’t have the best international reputation and the army are worried he is shifting from the West to the East. It’s like a changing of the guards.”
Mnangagwa, long thought to have the support of Zimbabwe’s security forces, said Monday that it is now up to the army to “defend our country’s constitution and the gains of our liberation struggle against rogue, state capturing elements bent on creating a family dynasty.”
His announcement came a few hours after General Chiwenga warned of the military’s intervention should suffering carry on.
will not hesitate to step in" General Chiwenga
“We must remind those behind the current treacherous shenanigans that, when it comes to matters of protecting our revolution, the military will not hesitate to step in,” Chiwenga said.
ZanuPF responded to the general's remarks accusing him of treason. In a statement, the party said the move "clearly calculated to disturb national peace… [and] incite insurrection".
The military has not confirmed whether the military vehicles seen moving today are part of a coup.
But Otto says it’s likely Mugabe will react to a coup in some way, whether he decides to not appoint his wife as vice president or gives ousted Mnangagwa his job back.
“If it is a military coup, it may not last that long, giving Mugabe’s lack of support,” said Otto.